If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ402030
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
34%
Lucy Powell
Resolved
N/ABridget Phillipson
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next Labour Party leader?
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
42% chance
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour?
Who will be the next leader of the UK Labour Party?
Will the winner of Labour's Deputy Leadership contest become Deputy Prime Minister within one year?
32% chance
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
41% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
38% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
11% chance