If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? | Manifold

If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

6

100Ṁ85

Dec 31

48%

chance

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6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Market context

Israel-Iran Conflict

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I assume market will resolve N/A if no strike before April

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