Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
34
Ṁ100Ṁ2.8k2027
34%
chance
5
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.
By themselves, airstrikes, a no-fly zone, and naval engagements do not count. An operation in which US military personnel are physically in Iran, but whose aim is not to seize territory (e.g. covert/clandestine operation), would also not count.
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