If Farage loses the 2026 Clacton by-election, will the PM after the next general election be Reform?
0
Ṁ1002029
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if Farage is not MP for Clacton after the by-election or if there is no by-election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
78% chance
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
51% chance
Nigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?
17% chance
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
13.6
Will Reform win the next UK election?
35% chance
In the next UK general election, Will Reform UK and Restore Britain be top 2 in any seat?
32% chance
Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
27% chance
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
37% chance