How many seats will Reform UK win in the 2026 Senedd election?
9
Ṁ175Ṁ1.2kresolved May 8
Resolved
~36.0 seats1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YESAbove 0
Resolved
YESAbove 8
Resolved
YESAbove 32
Resolved
YESAbove 24
Resolved
YESAbove 16
Resolved
NOAbove 40
Resolved
NOAbove 48
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ82 | |
| 2 | Ṁ26 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
21% chance
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
196
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
21% chance
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
13.5
How many members will Reform UK have at the start of 2029?
320k
Will Reform win the next UK election?
33% chance
Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
In the next UK general election, Will Reform UK and Restore Britain be top 2 in any seat?
40% chance
How many seats will be won by Estonian Reform Party in the next Estonian parliamentary election?