Will Jimmy Carter become a "viability centenarian"? (100 years after a 24 week pregnancy) [after mid-June 2024]
8
349
170
Jun 11
75%
chance

assume gestation is 40 weeks, then subtract 24 weeks for viability, so ~16 weeks before birth

[roughly June 11, 2024, backtest and figure out if he dies between June 11 and June 30]

Resolves to certain yes at June 30. If Jimmy Carter dies between June and October, he becomes the first centenarian president BY OBJECTIVE DEFINITION, there's no denying it.

[viability centenarian might be the most important definition of centenarian - babies are older than their birthdate - preterm babies are not older than babies conceived earlier but born later]

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Do we know when exactly he was conceived? If not, how does this resolve?

@ArmandodiMatteo assume gestation is 40 weeks, then subtract 24 weeks for viability, so ~16 weeks before birth

@ArmandodiMatteo updated q text

He became a heartbeat centenarian today