🐣 How many things will happen in April 2024?
12
245
715
resolved May 2
6 YES
Apr 7
8 YES
Apr 10
11 YES
Apr 12
14 YES
Apr 16
22 YES
Apr 21
31 YES
Apr 29
33 YES
Apr 30
42 YES
May 1
Resolved
YES
30+
Resolved
YES
35+
Resolved
YES
40+
Resolved
NO
45+
Resolved
NO
50+
Resolved
NO
55+
Resolved
NO
60+

How many sub-markets will have resolved YES at the end of April in chris' What will happen in April 2024? mega-market?

Markets that resolved NO or N/A don't count. I'll resolve sub-markets as they become true. I reserve the right to delay the final resolution until all sub-markets in the linked market resolve.

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reposted

With 42 YES and 3 left waiting to resolve, I've resolved to NO all values thare are now impossible to reach, with the exception of 45+, wich would be YES if all 3 remaining submarkets resolves YES. Unlikely, but possible, so I'm keeping 45+ open until one of them resolves NO.

@NoyaV Another one resolved NO, so the final count has to be between 42 and 44.

bought Ṁ150 60+ NO

the month is almost over!

bought Ṁ100 35+ YES

@NoyaV If I counted correctly, we're at 40 YES now.

reposted

halfway through

bought Ṁ5 45+ YES

Can you add some higher thresholds for this?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Added 3 more (50, 55, 60), but the same markets from last couple of months ended with values in lower ranges. I'd be surprised if they get this high

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