
Will 2023 be the warmest year on record?
259
2.1kṀ190kresolved Jan 12
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this according to NASA's GISTEMP data here (or wherever it's available), counting an exact match (1.02) as a "no". If GISTEMP isn't available, I'll look at NOAA, HadCRUT, or Berkeley Earth temperature data, in that order. See also 2022.
Edit 2023-08-08: past numbers changed to 1.01, so now a 1.02 or higher resolves YES and a 1.01 or lower resolves NO.
Edit 2023-08-15: past numbers changed back to 1.02 again, so now a 1.03 or higher resolves YES and a 1.02 or lower resolves NO. Resolution will be based on what the number is in Jan 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ2,441 | |
2 | Ṁ1,397 | |
3 | Ṁ809 | |
4 | Ṁ332 | |
5 | Ṁ257 |