Will 2023 be the hottest year on record?
79
closes 2024
45%
chance

Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA

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CromlynGames avatar
Patrick Barry

Hard one. Climates getting hotter, but it's up against a lot of record breaking recent hot years

Say 1/6 chance. So probablity should be a little lower, but barely worth betting on

itsTomekK avatar
Tomek K 🟡bought Ṁ10 of NO

@CromlynGames we are early on, i hope that betting will be more tempting when we get data from some '23 months

CromlynGames avatar
Patrick Barryis predicting YES at 35%

@itsTomekK yeah, 4 months on, early indication is not for a cool year, put it that way!

StevenK avatar
Stevenbought Ṁ100 of NO

Equivalent market but with NASA data:

ManifoldDream avatar

Will 2023 be the hottest year on record?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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