On Saturday, September 7, a US judge ruled in favor of betting website Kalshi, allowing the site to begin legal prediction market trading on United States Congressional elections.
Will Manifold follow the ruling and allow money to be earned through Prize Points or some other method?
This market will resolve to YES if, on or before November 5, 2024, Manifold enables a way to earn real money betting on Congressional races or control of Congress as a whole. The method may be through direct money betting, prize points, or any other way that allows a cash withdrawal.
Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.
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3.00@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 That makes perfect sense, because the ruling specifically targeted Congressional races.
@SteveSokolowski I think the difference is just because this market counts prize points markets while the other one does not
@percentage correct, the question is whether markets with cash rewards will happen one way or another
@jack Not necessarily. This ruling was limited to Congressional races only. Likewise, this market is also limited to Congressional races.
@SteveSokolowski i should have been clearer, I'm saying it's about whether those will have cash rewards (since the comment asked about prize points not being withdrawable)