Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ195
2026
35%
chance

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, in the calendar year 2025, US residents can legally participate in at least one Polymarket or Manifold market using real money.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules