Does the definition of "real-money market" require that the market itself be directly denominated in real money? Or would this market also resolve to YES if Manifold starts offering the ability to convert M to real money?

How would this market resolve if Manifold doesn't offer such a service, but a third party did and using that third-party service to convert to USD wasn't against the Manifold terms of service?

Even if Manifold wanted to do this, I predict regulatory approval would take longer than that.

There's nothing preventing manifold from opening question to non-us users only

@tb I think you're right, but I doubt Manifold would want to do that.