Will Manifold have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?
35
70
Ṁ2.3KṀ440
Dec 31
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Includes any real-money market listed on this platform, or a directly affiliated or subsidiary platform (but not a third party) offering real-money markets. If Manifold is acquired, changes its name, or expands into other business areas but otherwise has direct continuity with the platform as it exists today, that would also qualify.
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Does the definition of "real-money market" require that the market itself be directly denominated in real money? Or would this market also resolve to YES if Manifold starts offering the ability to convert M to real money?
How would this market resolve if Manifold doesn't offer such a service, but a third party did and using that third-party service to convert to USD wasn't against the Manifold terms of service?
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