Resolution Criteria
Favorable Outcome Defined: A favorable outcome for the New York Times (NYT) would be defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
The court rules in favor of the NYT on any of the major claims.
OpenAI and/or Microsoft agree to a settlement that involves monetary compensation, content usage changes, or other concessions beneficial to the NYT.
The court orders a cease in the use of NYT’s content by OpenAI and Microsoft or demands the destruction of training data that includes NYT content.
Sources of Verification: Official court documents, credible news reports, or direct statements from the parties involved (NYT, OpenAI, Microsoft) will be used to verify the outcome.
Ambiguity Clause: If the outcome is ambiguous or partial (e.g., minor concessions without a clear win for NYT), the question will be resolved as No. Only clear, substantial wins as per the defined criteria will resolve this question as Yes.
Exclusions: Minor procedural wins or losses, interim rulings, or outcomes not directly affecting the central claims of the lawsuit will not count towards resolving this bet.
@SirCryptomind generally has a better understanding of the legal environment and has a very similar market on this if you wish to bet on it:
1,000