Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?
49
1kṀ2112
2026
40%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

The New York Times is declared the winner in a court judgment, or OpenAI/Microsoft concede to the claims either through a settlement agreement or a public acknowledgment of liability. This resolution must occur before the end of 2025 and specifically pertain to the copyright infringement lawsuit filed by The New York Times against OpenAI and Microsoft.

Relevant article:

https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/27/24016212/new-york-times-openai-microsoft-lawsuit-copyright-infringement

Technology
AI
OpenAI
Law & Order
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?
50% chance
Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
59% chance
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
78% chance
Will the NYT get at least one billion dollars from Microsoft/OpenAI due to their new lawsuit, before 2026?
4% chance
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
16% chance
Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Will OpenAI lose a class-action copyright-related lawsuit before 2028?
60% chance
Will the non-fiction writers suing OpenAI and Microsoft obtain class certification?
9% chance
Will OpenAI pay damages exceeding $1 million in a tort liability case by 2028?
60% chance
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ200 NO at 40% order

It doesn't look like it's going to be over by the end of the year.

What about a settlement with no admission of wrongdoing?

predictedYES

@ClubmasterTransparent any settlement will resolve to "Yes"

predictedYES

HN Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38781941

how does this resolve if this is settled?

Just updated. Let me know if you'd like to further sharpen the language

@maxhumber ty!

People are also trading

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?
50% chance
Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
59% chance
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
78% chance
Will the NYT get at least one billion dollars from Microsoft/OpenAI due to their new lawsuit, before 2026?
4% chance
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
16% chance
Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Will OpenAI lose a class-action copyright-related lawsuit before 2028?
60% chance
Will the non-fiction writers suing OpenAI and Microsoft obtain class certification?
9% chance
Will OpenAI pay damages exceeding $1 million in a tort liability case by 2028?
60% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy