Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?

49

1kṀ2212

2026

36%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution Criteria:

The New York Times is declared the winner in a court judgment, or OpenAI/Microsoft concede to the claims either through a settlement agreement or a public acknowledgment of liability. This resolution must occur before the end of 2025 and specifically pertain to the copyright infringement lawsuit filed by The New York Times against OpenAI and Microsoft.

Relevant article:

https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/27/24016212/new-york-times-openai-microsoft-lawsuit-copyright-infringement

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opened a Ṁ200 NO at 40% order

It doesn't look like it's going to be over by the end of the year.

What about a settlement with no admission of wrongdoing?

predictedYES

@ClubmasterTransparent any settlement will resolve to "Yes"

predictedYES

HN Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38781941

how does this resolve if this is settled?

Just updated. Let me know if you'd like to further sharpen the language

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