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MANIFOLD
Will the NYT get at least one billion dollars from Microsoft/OpenAI due to their new lawsuit, before 2026?
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Ṁ1kṀ8.3k
resolved Feb 3
Resolved
NO

Story here.

The NYT said in a filing that it seeks to hold Microsoft and OpenAI to account for the “billions of dollars in statutory and actual damages” it believes it is owed.

Resolves yes if we learn that the NYT gets at least 1 billion dollars due to the lawsuit whether from judgement, settlement, etc. If they get an undisclosed amount, this can still resolve yes if it's reliably reported as being in that order of magnitude.

If we don't learn about them getting any money from the lawsuit by 2026, or they settle for a completely undisclosed amount, this resolves No.

In any cases of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the spirit of the question. I will not trade in this market.

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@mods resolves NO

Point of clarification, does this include legal fees? It if the settlement is 900 mil with 100 mil of legal fees added after, would this resolve yes? (Crazy large amount of legal fees but curious your choice on this).

@smithers I think that could count towards the total, yes.

Reminder! Market where you can trade on existing option "Manifold needs more traders with legal expertise"

was literally just about to make a question on this

predictedYES

@mattyb well, this was closer to my Q

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