All options that happen will be resolved YES, all that don't to NO. Any number of them can happen.
Once I see where these trade and how much interest there is I may add additional options, suggestions welcome.
If appeals are not mentioned, then only the verdict is required, whether or not it is upheld or modified on appeal.
If appeals are mentioned, then the final result is what matters.
If the Supreme Court does not hear the case, all "If Supreme Court..." are NO.
(These rules will be added to as additional options require, or to clarify, etc.)
Clarification: Verdict includes any licensing fees agreed upon that are owed based on existing models and past actions, and expected value of royalty payments on existing models, but does not include any future payments pursuant to a licensing or royalty agreement for models not yet released at time of settlement or verdict.
Clarification: Verdict here means final decision of the court in question, includes judges ruling for either side, SC decision, summary judgment or a case dismissal with prejudice.
For "NYT and OpenAI announce a partnership that goes beyond access to training data such as the one OpenAI made with Politico.": This would include any partnership or deal that goes beyond OpenAI being allowed to train on NYT sources, allowing OpenAI to quote, link to, provide or otherwise use NYT sources in at least some ways as part of its value proposition.
Modification to my house rules: I will not resolve early until I am >99% certain of a result.
Related questions
Is “partnership” limited to versions of “OpenAI gets to train on NYT stuff?” As a knowledge worker I’m way more interested in “NYT gets custom generative AI tool from OpenAI/MSFT that will automate tasks for its content creators.” Come to think of it I mighty like a subscription tier replacing all their extraneous “opinion” writers with AI.
Training AI models using publicly available internet materials is fair use, as supported by long-standing and widely accepted precedents.
For research purposes, sure. Not for commercial purposes that harm the market for the original work.
Safe to assume that by "verdict" you mean something along the lines of "resolution in court," rather than the actual technical legal meaning?
(A verdict only occurs after a jury trial; the Supreme Court doesn't render verdicts, the district court granting a summary judgment motion would not be a verdict, etc. Assuming you intended the broader sense, I'd probably use "verdict or judgment" here.)