Consensus of credible reporting at the end of January 2026. “Responsible for” means the US did it intentionally.
Suggest more sites to add if I missed any or more become relevant. More than one may resolve YES, and I’m open to answers that aren’t mutually exclusive. The dates I put on the answers are not binding / relevant to resolution.
1,0001971: Cuba experienced a significant outbreak of African Swine Fever (ASF), which affected the country's pig population. The disease caused serious economic damage to Cuba's pork industry, which was important to their agricultural economy.
The Soviet Claim: The USSR claimed that the U.S. have been involved in intentionally spreading the disease as part of a broader strategy to undermine Cuba’s economy. They claimed that biological warfare was being used against Cuba, which was a common accusation during the Cold War era, especially when political tensions were high.
Added to my arbitrage dashboard: https://manifold.markets/news/venezuelaus-conflict-in-2025