Who will be the first journalist to write a piece for a major news outlet that cites a Manifold Market?
Basic
8
Ṁ1357resolved Oct 8
100%98.2%
Kevin Roose
0.5%Other
0.6%
Dylan Matthews
0.5%
Kelsey Piper
0.1%
Oshan Jarow
0.1%
Rachel DuRose
We've been cited before by the 2nd largest Croatian news site. Other than that we've failed (but never really tried) to get our markets into mainstream news.
Still haven't decided exactly what the best definition of major news outlet is. Happy to take suggestions on how to define what counts.
To be cited could include the following:
Percentage given with some link to Manifold somewhere (doesn't have to explicitly say the % is from Manifold as long as it is linked)
Screenshot of graph
Mention of Manifold by name and some relevant market or % to the story.
I think if the core story is about Manifold itself and is going beyond just citing Manifold then that would also count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
38% chance
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
47% chance
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
32% chance
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
20% chance
Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
29% chance
Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
30% chance
Will someone do something IRL to profit on Manifold that gets news/courts coverage by 2035?
55% chance
Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
13% chance
Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
16% chance
Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
11% chance