Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
16
269
Sep 2
30%
chance

Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.

To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets. As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.

I'll not be betting in this market, of course.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Are you going to extend this if nothing happens before December 1?

@Eliza Yes. And all similar markets that I control.

@ScottLawrence Thanks for clarifying!