Whenever I hear apocalyptic talks about the future of AI, people usually talk about p(doom), the probability that AI will exterminate humanity.

I think it's an anthropocentric view that AI should want to exterminate us and only us, even if it had the capabilities.

Let's make it less biased and let's assign their own p(doom) to other animals. Let's start with monkeys.

This market resolves True if AI exterminates monkeys by 2040.