Will cattle be wiped out before the year 2030?
13
94
Ṁ584Ṁ270
2030
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If cattle are still around on Jan 1, 2030 this market resolves to NO. For the purpose of this market, digital cattle do not count.
If cattle are not around but humans or AI are, this market resolves to YES. If so it can resolve YES before 2030.
Otherwise this market does not resolve.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?
26% chance
Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 30%+ by 2040?
42% chance
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2040?
44% chance
Will there be a year, before 2030, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?
28% chance
Will there be a year, before 2040, in which *net* AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?
54% chance
Will less than 70% of agricultural land be used for farm animals by 2030?
47% chance
Will the Javan rhinoceros go extinct before 2030?
41% chance
Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?
17% chance
Will any domesticated animal species go extinct before 2080?
23% chance