It can be useful to think of humans' relationship with other animals when predicting AI's our future relationship to us.

For example, see below my own description of how we relate to the following:

• Cats: we serve them, provide them with food and shelter, they don't do anything for us besides being cute, we have no power on them

• Petdogs: we protect them but they follow our rules, they live in a cage and when we take them out they are only allowed to move under our supervision

• Watchdogs: these are countryside dogs, we mostly have a win-win relationship where we give them food and shelter and they protect our houses or other animals

• Monkeys: not much interaction, we sometimes study them, but we mostly let them live on their own trying to avoid interfering

• Labrats: we enslave and experiment on them, we try to avoid useless pain but we do it if it's useful for scientific advancements

• Chickens: we put them in cages, make them live miserable lives and eat them at the end

• Bugs: we kill them whenever we can

• Zoo animals: we let them live for our amusement in selected spaces

What will happen with AI towards us? Which of the relationships above will be more similar to AI towards us.

For example, if it was now I'd resolve it 70% cats and 30% dogs - AI mostly serves us but social media algorithms and surveillance attaches us with strings.

Resolution criteria:

This market resolves on a random day in 2045 to avoid speculation. I'll resolve each answer as the final odds on that day.

• Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided examples of analogies that could fall under the Other category, along with their interpretations:

  • Dodo: This analogy represents humans being driven to extinction by AI, similar to how humans caused the dodo's extinction.

  • Bees: This analogy represents humans struggling due to AI's actions, even if those actions are not intentionally malicious or are unwillingly harmful to humans (e.g., as a side effect of AI's primary functions).