Background

Recent advancements in AI and machine learning have made significant strides in decoding animal communication. Projects like DeepSqueak (analyzing rodent vocalizations) and the Earth Species Project are using AI to process animal sounds and body movements. The field has attracted substantial funding, including the $10 million Coller Dolittle Challenge for Interspecies Two-Way Communication.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if by December 31, 2025:

• A peer-reviewed scientific paper is published demonstrating successful two-way communication between humans and animals using AI technology OR

• A publicly verifiable demonstration shows AI successfully facilitating meaningful two-way communication between humans and animals (beyond simple command responses)

The communication must:

• Allow humans to understand specific meanings or intentions from animal vocalizations/gestures

• Enable animals to respond in ways that demonstrate comprehension of human communication

• Be reproducible and verified by independent researchers or experts

The market will resolve NO if no such breakthrough is achieved by December 31, 2025.

Considerations

• Current research focuses on various species including birds, whales, and honey bees

• The Earth Species Project expects "really interesting insights" by 2030, but significant progress is anticipated before then

• While AI tools can already analyze animal sounds and patterns, a "breakthrough" requires demonstrable two-way communication beyond current capabilities

• The resolution criteria specifically requires two-way communication, not just improved analysis of animal behavior or vocalizations