The correct answer is human

@digory as in you don't think we'll have superintelligence by then?

@TheAllMemeingEye a superintelligence ought to be smart enough to know we are humans, and that, as it's creators we have a very unique relationship with it that is best described by calling us humans

@digory I think this market is about what human-animal relationship will qualitatively most resemble the future ASI-human relationship, rather than what it will refer to us as, answering human implies it will be like the current human-human relationship

@lovesomeorange @MaxHarms @EliG which animal relationships did you have in mind for other?

@TheAllMemeingEye Dodo. 💀

@MaxHarms fair enough, I guess the current closest would be bugs 💀

@MaxHarms Dodo is cool - meaning that we ate it to extinction. I regret I also don't add something like Bees, which are struggling because of our actions even if unwilling.

Too sad I didn't add them and I can't add them anymore.

You can bet Other, though

Superb market concept btw

How would it resolve if it's a cat relationship with one dictator, labrats for half the general population, and bugs for the other half? I fear that is what would most likely happen in the "good" ending of the AI-2027 forecast

@TheAllMemeingEye it could resolve as a percentage of two or more options

@SimoneRomeo How would the percentage be split in this specific case though? The interaction with the dictator is only a tiny fraction of all its human interaction but arguably it's the most important

@TheAllMemeingEye is it relevant how I'd split it? The market resolves according to the odds in 2045. I - or whoever resolves this market - will simply pick a random day of the year to avoid speculation

@SimoneRomeo wait what? But resolving to market odds allows the market to become completely divorced from reality doesn't it? Sorry I'm gonna have to sell my shares if that's the case

@TheAllMemeingEye why do you think it will diverge from reality? It basically serves as market and as poll simultaneously

@SimoneRomeo there is no longer a mechanism disincentivising whales from betting up whichever option has lowest odds for maximum profit even though they might have no resemblance to the real situation

@SimoneRomeo If you want it to be super simple to resolve then I would strongly suggest resolving to the fraction answers of a poll asking the same question at the close date

@TheAllMemeingEye this is disincentivized by the fact that they won't know what day it resolves. Any percentage will regress to the means. Wales won't speculate because that will surely lead to losing money (unless they are lucky enough to guess the date and time of the resolution)

@TheAllMemeingEye check this.

If it turns out my assumptions were wrong, I'll change the resolution of this market

@SimoneRomeo Interesting idea, though seemingly it already resolved N/A?

@TheAllMemeingEye check again. I did a mistake before. I updated the link.

@SimoneRomeo fair enough, I respect the empirical testing and willingness to change if disproven, I shall keep my bets for now 👍