Reform UK have committed to running candidates in most seats in the UK. Predictors are pretty divided about whether they're going to manage to do it:
/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-2024-will-refor
However, with only one week to go until nominations close on Friday 7th June, it looks like the Conservatives actually have far fewer candidates selected and ready to go than Reform UK do:
Once nominations have closed, will it turn out that Reform are actually running in more seats than the Tories? Or will the usual Conservative Party machine come roaring back to life?
If both parties field exactly the same number of candidates, I will resolve this market as 50% to both options.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ165 | |
| 2 | Ṁ158 | |
| 3 | Ṁ134 | |
| 4 | Ṁ111 | |
| 5 | Ṁ93 |
The conservatives have it, 635 to 609. This can resolve now:
https://democracyclub.org.uk/blog/2024/06/08/2024-uk-general-election-candidate-summary/