Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
16
1kαΉ€555
2026
47%
chance

There are about 4,000 political appointees, a majority of which are replaced by a new president, normally.

Schedule Policy/Career (formerly named Schedule F) is a planned executive order by the Trump team to replace about 50,000 state employees to seize control over various parts of the government

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schedule_F_appointment

The 10,000 replacements must be unique positions.

This will resolve based on credible media reports.

I will not bet in this market in case resolution is controversial

  • Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Clarification:

    • All appointments count regardless of the legal method used.

    • A name change (e.g., from Schedule F to Schedule Policy/Career) does not affect the resolution criteria.

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I presume a mere name change doesn't affect the market. Currently the program is no longer known as Schedule F but Schedule Policy/Career. Maybe clarify that it still quacks like Schedule F and waddles like Schedule F... @Siebe

@JussiVilleHeiskanen it's purely about appointments, no matter which legal method is used, so a name change definitely doesn't affect things. Thanks for the heads up though! Lots happening

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