Will Trump fire or deport more people in his first year as president?
14
100Ṁ994
2026
Deport76%

In the year following Trump's inauguration: will more government employees be fired or will more people get deported from the country?

I will not bet.

Clarifications:

We're counting total employees who's employment is terminated, not net change in government employees.

I'll consider most dismissals firings, even if say a compensation package is offered in return for employees volunteering to step down.

  • Update 2025-14-01 (PST): - If there is no consensus or it's too close to call, the market will be resolved as Not Available (NA). (AI summary of creator comment)

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