How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025? [Kalshi]
19
1kṀ11k2026
141,388 people
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
98.3%
Above 50,000
96%
Above 100,000
52%
Above 250,000
5%
Above 500,000
1.9%
Above 1,000,000
Resolves identically to https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedemployees/federal-government-employee-count.
Compares the count of federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count. Outcome verified from FRED.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?
55% chance
Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?
6% chance
Will Trump and Elon cut the Federal Budget by more than $1 Trillion/yr by the end of 2025?
1% chance
How many entire government agencies will be eliminated by within one year of Trump taking office?
If Trump wins the 2024 election, how many government employees will he fire using Schedule F by the end of his term?
Federal government employment decreases by >500,000 before January 2026
5% chance
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
37% chance
Will Trump terminate any of Elon Musk's government contracts before 2026?
23% chance
Who will leave the Trump Administration in 2025?
Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 100,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?
77% chance