How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025? [Kalshi]
11
1kṀ27812026
196,568 people
expected1D
1W
1M
ALL
92%
Above 50,000
82%
Above 100,000
57%
Above 250,000
22%
Above 500,000
9%
Above 1,000,000
Resolves identically to https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedemployees/federal-government-employee-count.
Compares the count of federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count. Outcome verified from FRED.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?
66% chance
Federal government employment decreases by >500,000 before January 2026
26% chance
How many entire government agencies will be eliminated by within one year of Trump taking office?
Will Trump and Elon cut the Federal Budget by more than $1 Trillion/yr by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
45% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, how many government employees will he fire using Schedule F by the end of his term?
If Trump wins the election, will he appoint Elon Musk to a federal government position by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will the US government crush OpenAI while Elon Musk is a government employee, in 2025?
7% chance
Which companies will announce layoffs in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
If Trump wins the election, will Vivek Ramaswamy be given a government position (cabinet or otherwise) by EOY 2025?
4% chance