Which will happen first: AGI, or a pile of sand at my local park being removed?
41
1kแน€1253
2030
Pile of sand removed75%

This pile of sand has been here for at least 3 years. I presume they want to use it for some kind of construction purpose. Every time I see it I think about the insane progress happening in the tech world and yet how we are still completely incapable of building or doing anything in the real world.

For the purposes of this question, AGI uses the Metaculus definition of weak AGI

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

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By popular demand, here is the sand pile.

bought แน€10 NO

would be really poetic if this sand was hauled off to make microchips ๐Ÿ–‡๏ธ

Update?

@BrunoJ I last checked a couple weeks ago and it was still there

bought แน€50 NO

Someone tell NVIDIA about this potential source of silicon.

sand status?

still there when I last went ~ a couple weeks ago

Everyone too busy moving pixels on their screens to move sand.

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Important question for the market: where do you live?

Just the city is fine, this is not about the exact location of the pile of sand.

@BrunoParga near DC

By popular demand, here is the sand pile.

@SemioticRivalry 3 years and it never washes/blows away? seems like someone should just box it in with 2x4s and make a sandbox

bought แน€10 YES

I'm going to need you all to add some more liquidity to justify deploying my spy satellite and making some political contributions to important local politicians on behalf of the Remove the Pile of Sand Lobby.

What is precipitation like where you live? Have you noticed erosion?

How big is the pile of sand?

Show the pile for evaluation ๐Ÿ™‚

bought แน€100 YES

I would argue a pile of sand is itself AGI

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