Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY?
21
1kṀ2762Dec 31
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
warning, potentially subjective
First we had plain old GPTs, then we had instruct models, then we had chat models, then we had reasoning models
a model in the paradigm has to be top-3 in chatbot arena to count
will we get a new such thing by EOY?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
When will the next paradigm in LLMs (after reasoning) be released?
Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?
26% chance
6 months from now will I judge that LLMs had already peaked by Nov 2024?
16% chance
Will any LLM released by EOY 2025 be dangerously ASL-3 as defined by Anthropic?
84% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
40% chance
What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?
Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?
48% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
89% chance