Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY?
Plus
17
Ṁ1960Dec 31
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
warning, potentially subjective
First we had plain old GPTs, then we had instruct models, then we had chat models, then we had reasoning models
a model in the paradigm has to be top-3 in chatbot arena to count
will we get a new such thing by EOY?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any LLM released by EOY 2025 be dangerously ASL-3 as defined by Anthropic?
53% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?
67% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?
34% chance
Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]
43% chance
Will YouTube Comments make it into a major LLM by EOY 2027?
63% chance
6 months from now will I judge that LLMs had already peaked by Nov 2024?
16% chance
Will there be an LLM which can do fluent conlang translations by EOY 2024?
72% chance
Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
49% chance