If the Democratic nominee is elected in 2024, will the U.S. average lifespan be 79.0+ in 2028?
5
9
Ṁ70Ṁ150
2030
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution waits until the CDC releases their figure for the 2028 average lifespan in the United States.
If the 2024 elected president ran as the Democratic nominee, then this market will resolve YES if the average U.S. lifespan is greater than or equal to 79 in 2028. If less than 79, then this resolves as NO.
If the elected president wasn't running as the Democratic nominee, then this market will resolve N/A and all trades are reimbursed. For the sibling question about the Republican nominee, click here.
The close date is 2030-Dec just in case the CDC is slow to release the 2028 figure.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
51% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
64% chance
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
51% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
52% chance
Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?
If the Republican nominee is elected in 2024, will the U.S. average lifespan be 79.0+ in 2028?
39% chance
Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?
24% chance
Will US life expectancy in 2075 be 100 or above?
65% chance
How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?