If the Republican nominee is elected in 2024, will the U.S. average lifespan be 79.0+ in 2028?
Basic
5
Ṁ1452030
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution waits until the CDC releases their figure for the 2028 average lifespan in the United States.
If the 2024 elected president ran as the Republican nominee, then this market will resolve YES if the average U.S. lifespan is greater than or equal to 79 in 2028. If less than 79, then this resolves as NO.
If the elected president wasn't running as the Republican nominee, then this market will resolve N/A and all trades are reimbursed. For the sibling question about the Democratic nominee, click here.
The close date is 2030-Dec just in case the CDC is slow to release the 2028 figure.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
How old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Will someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
74% chance
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
49% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive in November of 2028?
71% chance
Republicans win 2028 election?
44% chance
Will a person under the age of 60 be elected US President in 2028?
57% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
40% chance