Will Scott Alexander blog about the banking crisis this year?

Ṁ110Ṁ610

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

ALL

The post must be at least 50% (by length) about the banking crisis: what are the facts, what are their implications, and so on. A "springboard" post that is mostly about an unrelated topic will not count.

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ69
2		Ṁ42
3		Ṁ6
4		Ṁ0

People are also trading

Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year?

61% chance

Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?

10% chance

Will Scott Alexander post another article with a title that matches "The [disease] of [emotion]" before 2028?

38% chance

Will Scott Alexander write another post about Lumina before 2030?

71% chance

Scott Alexander receives another critical newspaper profile by end of 2026?

29% chance

Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?

4% chance

📖Will @ScottAlexander write an all-time post (see description) by 2035?

79% chance

Will Scott Alexander be accused of a felony in a mainstream news outlet before 2030?

5% chance

Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?

6% chance

Will Scott Alexander do anything before 2030 that I personally would consider highly unethical?

5% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

Related questions