Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran in 2022?
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Ṁ320Ṁ4.2kresolved Jan 1
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Since resolution will be pretty unambiguous, I'll be betting normally in this market, of course.
Let me know if anyone's concerned about edge cases. Otherwise I'll think about it only if things look dicey in mid-December. (The extreme edge-case I have in mind is a coup beginning Dec 30 that doesn't conclusively resolve until Jan 2. I think that should be a YES, but I'm not super sure.)
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