What Will Happen In the 2025 Ontario Election? [add responses]
5
100Ṁ248
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
YES
Liberal party wins 10+ seats
Resolved
YES
Bonnie Crombie does not win a seat
Resolved
NO
Doug Ford eats another bee
Resolved
NO
Donald Trump mentions any Ontario party leader by name
Resolved
NO
Green Party wins 3+ seats
Resolved
NO
A party that does not currently hold a seat in the legislature wins one
Resolved
NO
The liberal party forms the official opposition
Resolved
NO
Any party besides the conservatives wins the most seats

Please add responses. Markets will resolve based on specified criteria.

  • Update 2025-02-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Trigger:

    • A congratulations tweet (or similar public acknowledgment) from Trump will be accepted as evidence to resolve the response as yes.

  • Update 2025-02-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator

Resolutions Clarification:

  • Yes Outcomes:

  • Liberal party winning 10+ seats

  • Bonnie Crombie does not win a seat

  • No Outcomes:

  • Liberal party forms the official opposition

  • Green Party wins 3+ seats

  • Any party besides the conservatives wins the most seats

  • Doug Ford eats a bee

  • A party that does not currently hold a seat in the legislature wins one

Additional Note:

  • Monitoring if Trump mentions any candidate by name as further evidence

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I am unable to find any evidence of Donald trump mentioning Doug ford (or any other candidate). Unless anyone else can provide evidence of this I will resolve the answer no within 3 days.

Resolutions:

Liberal party 10+ seats resolves yes

Bonnie Crombie does not win a seat resolves yes

The liberal party forms the official opposition resolves no

Green Party wins 3+ seats resolves no

Any party besides the conservatives wins the most seats resolves no

Doug ford eats a bee resolves no

A party that does not currently hold a seat in the legislature wins one resolves no

I will look around tomorrow for information about trump mentioning any candidate by name.

I will close the question now and resolve the responses over the coming days. If anyone can find evidence that Trump mentioned an Ontario party leader by name (during the campaign) please post it.

@ScoobyDoo if he makes a congratulations tweet or something like that I will also consider that to resolve the response to yes.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Its the middle of winter. Where the heck is he gonna find a bee?

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