🌼What will happen in May 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
32
685Ṁ1745
Jun 1
99%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
97%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
96%
Joe Biden is alive for the entire month
96%
donald trump is alive for the entire month
96%
at least one xkcd comic where there are no stick figures at all
89%
large tech company announces layoffs
74%
An open Manifold market about the Eurovision Song Contest has 100+ Traders
72%
At least five XKCD comics where there are no stick figures at all
70%
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
69%
At least three hurricanes or typhoons form anywhere on the planet
67%
Israel and Hamas have a ceasefire that lasts at least 24 hours
64%
A high school or college commencement speaker is protested by significant group of graduates, per reliable reporting
60%
The S&P 500 closes the month higher than its month opening price
58%
https://web3isgoinggreat.com/ has a post on the last day of the month
50%
Toronto Blue Jays have a winning record at the end of the month
45%
Boston Celtics lose a playoff series
41%
Starship Launch
40%
It's the hottest May on record (based on global average temperature)
37%
The Myanmar resistance forces will gain territory on the map on this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myanmar_civil_war_(2021%E2%80%93present)
31%
A Manifold user is banned while in Diamond or Masters

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

@strutheo I'm going to guess no on this one

bought Ṁ10 NO

@ZaneMiller you never know, they might be resurrected! I think this shouldn't have resolved until May 1

(99% joking)

bought Ṁ30 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye Good market.

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bought Ṁ5 YES

@Quroe Thanks haha

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