
Which Canadian political party will win the 2nd most seats in next federal election?
17
1kṀ3547Oct 21
64%
Conservative Party
37%
Liberal Party
5%
Bloc Quebecois
2%
New Democratic Party
1.5%
Green Party
Canada is slated for a federal election on or before 20 October 2025.
While Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party is far out in front according to polling, the party that has the best chance of forming the Official Opposition is still uncertain.
338Canada currently projects the Liberals, Bloc Quebecois, and the NDP to win comparable numbers of seats in the House of Commons.

This question resolves YES to the above-listed party that wins the second largest number of seats at the conclusion of the next Canadian federal election. If there's a tie, both parties in 2nd place will resolve YES.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Liberal Party of Canada lead in projected seats on April 1st?
90% chance
Which party will win a plurality of seats in the next Canadian federal election?
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?
Liberal Party forms the next Canadian government
56% chance
Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?
23% chance
Outcome of next Canadian federal election
What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
What will be the results of the 2025 Canadian federal election?
How many seats will the Liberal Party of Canada win in the next Canadian federal election?