Will the party that controls of the House of Representatives change between February 2025 and October 2026?
Plus
17
Ṁ6387Feb 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is possible if a special election flips control of the chamber or if multiple members leave Congress before special elections are held. Will also resolve YES if a Speaker of the House election is held and the new speaker is from a different party than the previous one, but this is not required for a YES resolution as long as a different party has a permanent majority of seats.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Republican Party control the specified State's House of Representatives after the 2024 election?
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Will party control of US House of Representatives change prematurely before 2025 inauguration?
4% chance
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
52% chance
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
57% chance
What will the Party distribution of the next 2 US presidential terms be? (2029-2037) [> 6k Liquidity]
Will the Speaker of the House election in January 2025 feature multiple ballots?
29% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
15% chance