Will the party that controls of the House of Representatives change between February 2025 and October 2026?
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Feb 1
5%
chance

This is possible if a special election flips control of the chamber or if multiple members leave Congress before special elections are held. Will also resolve YES if a Speaker of the House election is held and the new speaker is from a different party than the previous one, but this is not required for a YES resolution as long as a different party has a permanent majority of seats.

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