The Republicans are on track for an extremely slim majority - something like 221-214. And Trump keeps appointing representatives to the Cabinet (Waltz, Stefanik, Gaetz… note that House members are only replaced in special elections, which take several months.) Still, Democratic control within eight months is a fantasy… or is it?

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.