Will high-quality online polls or high-quality phone polls be more accurate in the 2024 election?
Basic
1
Ṁ50
Nov 29
69%
chance

I will compile an average of national online polls taken in the 5 days before the presidential election and compare it to an average of national phone polls. Resolves YES if the online polls are closer to the national popular vote result. I will exclude mixed polls and "low quality" polls (less than two stars according to FiveThirtyEight ratings) from the averages.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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