Which pollsters will get the 2024 Presidential Election right? (PV difference within 3%)
5
1.6kṀ470
resolved Dec 2
Resolved
YES
Quinnipiac
Resolved
YES
HarrisX
Resolved
YES
CBS News
Resolved
YES
Emerson
Resolved
YES
Rasmussen Reports
Resolved
YES
FOX News
Resolved
YES
Atlas Intel
Resolved
YES
Siena
Resolved
YES
Harvard-Harris
Resolved
YES
TIPP
Resolved
YES
Suffolk
Resolved
NO
YouGov
Resolved
NO
Morning Consult
Resolved
NO
Ipsos
Resolved
NO
Marist
Resolved
NO
Data for Progress

Resolves based on the most recent national poll before the election released by each pollster. If the difference in popular vote percentage between Harris and Trump in the poll is more than 3% off from the final result, resolves false.

If a pollster has polls financed by different sponsors, I will average out the most recent poll from each (as long as they ended within 2 weeks of the most recent poll of that pollster, to avoid errors from older polls)
May resolve after the counting is complete and recounts are done if the results are unclear or too close.

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