Will the mail-in ballot rate for 2024 be closer to 2020’s 43% (YES) than 2022’s 31.8% (NO)?

Basic

12

Ṁ4029Nov 23

20%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Rates according to the MIT Election Data Lab.

Will the mail-in ballot rate be closer to 2020 (43%) than 2022 (31.8%)? Resolves YES / NO / or 50% for a tie, not to %.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and3.00

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will absolute voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential election be higher than 2020?

2% chance

Will a state or district that voted by over 55% for a candidate in the 2020 election vote the opposite way in 2024?

1% chance

Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 68% or larger?

4% chance

What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?

Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 66% or larger?

5% chance

Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?

48% chance

Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?

6% chance

Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 62% or larger?

85% chance

Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?

4% chance

Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?

10% chance