Will the mail-in ballot rate for 2024 be closer to 2020’s 43% (YES) than 2022’s 31.8% (NO)?
Basic
12
Ṁ4029Nov 23
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Rates according to the MIT Election Data Lab.
Will the mail-in ballot rate be closer to 2020 (43%) than 2022 (31.8%)? Resolves YES / NO / or 50% for a tie, not to %.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?
1% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
13% chance
Will the Asian voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 60% or larger?
57% chance
Will the white voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 70% or larger?
22% chance
Will the Black voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 60% or larger?
20% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 62% or larger?
97% chance
Will the Latino voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 55% or larger?
38% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
3% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
4% chance
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 68% or larger?
2% chance