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Will the mail-in ballot rate for 2024 be closer to 2020’s 43% (YES) than 2022’s 31.8% (NO)?
12
100Ṁ4029Nov 23
20%
chance
1D
1W
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Rates according to the MIT Election Data Lab.
Will the mail-in ballot rate be closer to 2020 (43%) than 2022 (31.8%)? Resolves YES / NO / or 50% for a tie, not to %.
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The MIT data has not released yet, but Pew Research data has:
Voters in the November 2024 election were about equally likely to vote in person on Election Day (34%), vote early in person (32%) or use an absentee or mail-in ballot (35%).
It seemed to be closer to 2022.
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