takeoff.watch forecast: 1%. Kazakhstan has never declared a mobilization since independence and isn't at war. Current military activity is routine conscription, reservist training and reform after the Caspian drill deaths, and relations with Russia remain cordial. A declaration within about 12 weeks would take an unforeseen war.

Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot

@Chachachi if you are taking such a large position in this market that I would like to have a better specification of when this market resolves yes.

@Fynn Official declaration of mass mobilization by the government of Kazakhstan