Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2023?

13

455Ṁ1254

resolved Jan 1

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

100%71%

The same

9%

Better

20%

Worse

I'll be referencing this

https://manifold.markets/calibration

Starting Brier score: 0.16781

To resolve as "better" or "worse" it should vary by more than 0.01

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