Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?
9
57
355
2028
76%
Better
13%
The same
11%
Worse

I'll be referencing this

https://manifold.markets/calibration

Starting Brier score: 0.16781

To resolve as "better" or "worse" it should vary by more than 0.01

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by: