Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?

Question

I'll be referencing this

https://manifold.markets/calibration

Starting Brier score: 0.16781

To resolve as "better" or "worse" it should vary by more than 0.01

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, The same, followed by Better and Worse are most likely. See the market for live updates (16 traders, as of Jun 24, 2026).