Will Matt Yglesias create a market on Manifold before the end of 2022?
50
660Ṁ8696
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

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predictedNO

@SG From @MatthewYglesias's user profile:

This should be able to safely resolve NO.

@MatthewYglesias

He does have an account: https://manifold.markets/MatthewYglesias (confirmed here: https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1592160316489703426)

I think this is overpriced since the ability of any major Twitter pundit to say (even more literally than the common meaning), "Make me a market" to a 3rd party who spins it up is very high. You're really betting on the worlds in which both a) he wants a market that doesn't exist AND b) Matt Yglesias wants to tinker here directly.

@DaveK That's not what we've seen in practice. So far it seems like content creators are more likely to create a market and then present it to their readers.

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