Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
22
153
430
2028
44%
chance

Matt Levine, the Bloomberg opinion columnist.

This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations that I follow will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years). The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.

To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.

IMO, it will be key for Manifold to attract public figures and organizations; this will (i) provide pre-earned credibility for these accounts as market creators (which encourages trading), and (ii) will attract the follower base of these users to Manifold as traders.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

@RobertCousineau Joe has an account here now!

Matt Levine is definitely on my dream list! (also known as "senpai, notice me" bingo sheet)

See also: https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-matt-levine-link-to-manifold-b