Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ29
2030
20%
chance

resolves yes if they IPO and are listed on a public exchange and the first day of trading for both of them is in the same calendar month

Eg. An ipo on October 30 2026 and November 2 2026 would resolve no (different month)

An ipo on November 3 2026 and November 29 2026 would resolve yes (same month)

Must be same month and year. Eg. Nov 2026 and Nov 2027 don’t count.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!