if the closing price of any day within your selected timeframe is below the IPO price of anthropic, the sub market for that timeframe will resolve to a YES.

Resolution criteria

This market is an independent multiple-choice market. Each timeframe option resolves independently based on the official regular-session closing price of Anthropic's Class A common stock (trading under ticker ANT on Nasdaq) relative to its final Initial Public Offering (IPO) price.

• Threshold: A timeframe option resolves YES if, on any regular market trading day within that timeframe, the closing price (4:00 PM ET) of the stock is strictly lower than the official IPO offering price.

• Otherwise: If the closing price remains equal to or above the IPO price on every trading day through the conclusion of that timeframe, that option resolves NO.

• Timeframe measurement: "Day 1" is defined as the first full trading day on which Anthropic shares begin trading on Nasdaq. Each option's timeframe is measured in elapsed calendar days starting from the date of the first trading session (e.g., "Within 7 days" includes any trading day occurring on or before Day 1 + 7 calendar days). If the market closes on a non-trading day, the evaluation period extends to the final closing price on or before that deadline.

• Reference Sources: The official IPO offer price as stated in Anthropic's final prospectus filed with the SEC EDGAR system, and historical closing prices reported by Nasdaq or Yahoo Finance.

• Precondition / Cancellation: If Anthropic does not complete its initial public offering, or if an option's window has not yet concluded without the price dropping below the IPO price, that option will remain open until its period concludes or resolve according to the creator's cancellation terms. Intraday dips that do not result in an official closing price below the IPO price do not trigger a YES resolution.

Background

Anthropic filed its Form S-1 registration statement with the U.S. SEC to list its Class A common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker "ANT". The offering establishes a benchmark IPO price per share prior to its first day of secondary market trading.

This market tracks post-IPO price performance over several distinct windows (e.g., 1 day, 7 days, 14 days, 30 days, 90 days) to evaluate whether secondary market trading breaks below the initial issue price (commonly referred to as "breaking issue").